by Chandigarh and Uttar Pradesh stand at an identical crossroads. Two wins. Two losses. Eight points each. But the story isn’t equal at all.
This Elite Group B clash at Eden Gardens, Kolkata, represents more than just another match.
It’s a turning point. Win, and playoff hopes stay alive. Lose, and the tournament slips away.
The numbers tell an interesting tale. Uttar Pradesh sits comfortably at 4th position despite identical points.
Their net run rate of +0.797 gives them breathing room. Chandigarh? They’re languishing at 7th with a terrible -0.782 NRR.
That 1.579 difference in net run rate changes everything. Uttar Pradesh can afford a narrow win and still qualify.
Chandigarh needs a demolition job—a big margin victory to fix their NRR problem and jump back into playoff contention.
The pressure situations differ completely. UP plays with confidence, knowing their superior NRR provides a cushion.
Chandigarh must play aggressive, risk-taking cricket. They need boundaries, quick wickets, and dominant performances.
CHN vs UP Dream11 Prediction
This CHN vs UP Dream11 Prediction Syed Mushtaq Ali Trophy on 04 Dec 2025 analysis breaks down team strengths, weaknesses, key players, and winning chances with complete statistical backing.
Match Facts: Everything You Need to Know
| Match Information | Details |
|---|---|
| Teams | Chandigarh vs Uttar Pradesh |
| Tournament | Syed Mushtaq Ali Trophy 2025-26 |
| Group | Elite Group B |
| Match Number | Group stage match |
| Date | Wednesday, December 4, 2025 |
| Time | 11:00 AM Local Time |
| Venue | Eden Gardens, Kolkata |
| City | Kolkata, West Bengal |
| Pitch Type | Batting-friendly, pace assistance |
| Average Score | 204 runs (last 5 T20s) |
| Toss Factor | 75% teams bowl first |
| Weather | 19°C, mostly cloudy, 10% rain chance |
| Stakes | Virtual knockout for playoff hopes |
Tournament Context:
With the group stage nearing its conclusion, every match carries enormous weight. The top teams from Elite Group B advance to the Super League, where they compete for semifinal spots. Both teams desperately need this victory to keep dreams alive.
Team Form Analysis: Recent Performance Breakdown
Chandigarh – Last 4 Matches:
| Match | Opponent | Result | Score | Key Performers | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | vs Goa | Won | CHN 165/5, Goa 142/8 | Vohra 54 | Good start |
| Match 2 | vs Maharashtra | Lost | CHN 138/7, MAH 141/4 | Bowling failed | Close loss |
| Match 3 | vs J&K | Won | CHN 178/6, J&K 156/9 | Vohra 62 | Solid win |
| Match 4 | vs Hyderabad | Lost | CHN 152/7, HYD 156/3 | Batting collapsed | Poor NRR impact |
Chandigarh Form Summary:
- Overall Record: W-L-W-L (alternating results)
- Batting Average: 158 runs per innings
- Bowling Average: Conceding 149 runs per innings
- Key Strength: Manan Vohra (224 runs in 5 matches)
- Key Weakness: Inconsistent middle order, NRR damage from losses
Patterns:
Chandigarh’s form shows they’re capable of winning but lack consistency. When Vohra fires, they win. When he fails, the middle order collapses. Their negative NRR stems from two heavy defeats where they couldn’t restrict opponents.
Uttar Pradesh – Last 4 Matches:
| Match | Opponent | Result | Score | Key Performers | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | vs Madhya Pradesh | Won | UP 182/5, MP 178/7 | Rinku 45*, Mavi 3/28 | Close finish |
| Match 2 | vs Hyderabad | Lost | UP 156/8, HYD 160/4 | Batting struggled | Tight loss |
| Match 3 | vs J&K | Won | UP 195/4, J&K 172/9 | Juyal 68, Bishnoi 3/24 | Dominant |
| Match 4 | vs Goa | Lost | UP 167/6, Goa 171/5 | Death bowling failed | Close margins |
Uttar Pradesh Form Summary:
- Overall Record: W-L-W-L (alternating like Chandigarh)
- Batting Average: 175 runs per innings
- Bowling Average: Conceding 170 runs per innings
- Key Strength: Balanced attack (Bhuvneshwar, Mavi, Bishnoi)
- Key Weakness: Finishing close matches, middle-overs bowling
Patterns:
UP scores better than Chandigarh (175 vs 158 average) but also concedes more (170 vs 149). Their positive NRR comes from winning margins being bigger than losing margins. Arpit Juyal’s consistency at the top and Rinku Singh’s finishing ability provide balance.
Strengths & Weaknesses Analysis
Chandigarh Strengths:
- ✅ Manan Vohra’s Form: 224 runs in 5 matches (44.8 average) – tournament’s leading scorer for them
- ✅ Bowling Economy: Conceding only 149 runs per innings shows disciplined bowling
- ✅ Desperation Factor: Playing with backs against the wall often brings the best out
- ✅ Nothing to Lose: Already at 7th position, can play fearlessly
- ✅ Home Advantage: Playing in India (familiar conditions)
Chandigarh Weaknesses:
- ❌ Negative NRR: -0.782 means they need huge winning margin
- ❌ Middle-Order Fragility: Over-dependent on Vohra
- ❌ Inconsistent Performances: Win one, lose one pattern
- ❌ Death Bowling: Struggles in overs 16-20
- ❌ Pressure Handling: Two losses came in pressure situations
Uttar Pradesh Strengths:
- ✅ Superior NRR: +0.797 gives a massive cushion for qualification
- ✅ Balanced Bowling: Bhuvneshwar (death), Mavi (powerplay), Bishnoi (middle) cover all phases
- ✅ Explosive Finisher: Rinku Singh (77 runs but high strike rate)
- ✅ Head-to-Head Edge: Won only the previous meeting by 22 runs
- ✅ Batting Depth: Arpit Juyal (171 runs) provides consistency
Uttar Pradesh Weaknesses:
- ❌ Close Match Losses: Lost two matches by narrow margins
- ❌ Middle-Overs Bowling: Conceding runs in overs 8-15
- ❌ Pressure on Juyal: Over-reliance on opener
- ❌ Finishing Issues: Death batting is inconsistent
- ❌ Alternating Form: W-L-W-L pattern shows inconsistency
Key Players to Watch
Key Batters:
| Player | Team | Runs (Last 5) | Average | Strike Rate | Why Crucial? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manan Vohra | CHN | 224 | 44.8 | 142.3 | Chandigarh’s backbone |
| Arpit Juyal | UP | 171 | 34.2 | 128.6 | UP’s most consistent |
| Rinku Singh | UP | 77 | 25.6 | 165.4 | Explosive finisher |
| Anmolpreet Singh | CHN | 112 | 28.0 | 135.2 | Vohra’s partner |
Batter Analysis:
Vohra vs Juyal becomes the key battle. Whoever scores more likely leads their team to victory. Rinku’s strike rate (165.4) makes him dangerous in death overs—he can change games in 2-3 overs.
Key Bowlers:
| Player | Team | Wickets (Last 5) | Economy | Average | Why Crucial? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhuvneshwar Kumar | UP | 5 | 6.8 | 24.2 | Death specialist |
| Ravi Bishnoi | UP | 8 | 7.2 | 18.5 | Wicket-taker |
| Shivam Mavi | UP | 7 | 7.8 | 21.4 | Powerplay threat |
| Arslan Khan | CHN | 6 | 7.5 | 22.8 | All-rounder |
Bowler Analysis:
UP’s bowling attack looks significantly stronger. Bishnoi’s 8 wickets make him the tournament’s leading wicket-taker for UP. Bhuvneshwar’s death bowling (6.8 economy) could be match-winning on a high-scoring Eden Gardens pitch.
Venue Impact: Eden Gardens Pitch Behavior
Historical Stats:
- Average score: 204 runs (last 5 T20s)
- First innings average: 210 runs
- Second innings average: 198 runs
- Pacers took 41 of 65 wickets (63%)
- Spinners took 24 of 65 wickets (37%)
What This Means:
Eden Gardens heavily favors pace bowlers. With 63% wickets falling to pacers, UP’s Bhuvneshwar-Mavi-Tyagi trio has an advantage over Chandigarh’s attack.
The 204-run average means both teams should target 190+ if batting first. Anything below 180 becomes chaseable despite the chasing success rate being only 47.22%.
Short square boundaries (55-60m) mean pull shots and cuts fetch boundaries easily. Spinners struggle because hard pitch offers minimal turn.
Odds & Winning Chances Analysis
Predicted Match Odds:
- Uttar Pradesh: 1.65 (61% win probability)
- Chandigarh: 2.20 (45% win probability)
Why Uttar Pradesh is Favorite:
- Superior NRR (+0.797 vs -0.782): Even a close win suffices for qualification
- Better Bowling Attack: Bhuvneshwar, Mavi, and Bishnoi form a complete unit
- Head-to-Head Record: Won previous meeting by 22 runs
- Psychological Edge: Playing with confidence, not desperation
- Higher Batting Average: 175 runs vs Chandigarh’s 158
Why Chandigarh Can Upset:
- Desperation Factor: Nothing-to-lose mentality brings fearless cricket
- Vohra’s Form: 224 runs make him the most dangerous batter
- Better Bowling Economy: Conceding 149 vs UP’s 170
- Aggressive Intent: Must play attacking cricket (helps in T20s)
- Venue Neutrality: Both teams are equally unfamiliar with Eden Gardens
Realistic Assessment:
Uttar Pradesh enters as the light favorites (60-40). Their superior NRR and balanced squad give them edge.
However, Chandigarh’s desperation could work both ways—either inspire brilliance or cause collapse under pressure.
CHN vs UP Dream11 Prediction Today Match: Top 5 Fantasy Tips
For your CHN vs UP Dream11 Prediction Tips, follow these strategies:
Tip 1: Captain Selection
- Safe Pick: Manan Vohra (224 runs, consistent across matches)
- Differential Pick: Rinku Singh (low ownership, explosive potential)
- Bowler Option: Ravi Bishnoi (8 wickets, Eden Gardens helps leg-spinners minimally, but he takes wickets)
Tip 2: Team Balance
- Use 1 WK + 3 BAT + 3 ALL + 4 BOWL formation
- Eden Gardens’ 204-run average demands quality batters
- Pace-friendly pitch needs 3-4 specialist fast bowlers
- All-rounders provide batting depth plus bowling options
Tip 3: Budget Allocation
- Spend 50% credits on Uttar Pradesh players (they’re the favorites)
- Pick Vohra from Chandigarh (he’s in prime form)
- Invest heavily in pace bowlers: Bhuvneshwar, Mavi, Tyagi
- Save credits for differential all-rounders (Arslan Khan, Jagjit Singh)
Tip 4: Venue-Specific Selections
- Prioritize pace bowlers over spinners (63% wickets to pacers)
- Pick boundary-hitters (short square boundaries favor them)
- Avoid middle-order accumulators (strike rate matters here)
- Death bowlers become premium (high-scoring matches need them)
Tip 5: Risk Management
- Small Leagues: Pick proven performers (Vohra, Juyal, Bhuvneshwar)
- Grand Leagues: Use differentials (Rinku captain, Jagjit Singh pick)
- Diversify captain choices (if Vohra captain, pick Juyal vice-captain)
- Balance teams (6 UP + 5 CHN or 7 UP + 4 CHN)
Final Prediction & Match Winner
Winner Prediction: Uttar Pradesh (60% Chance)
Predicted Scenario:
Uttar Pradesh wins the toss and bowls first (following 75% trend). Chandigarh bats aggressively, knowing the NRR situation, posts a competitive 200-210. UP chases successfully in 19 overs with Rinku Singh hitting the winning runs.
Expected Scorecard:
- Chandigarh: 205/6 (20 overs)
- Uttar Pradesh: 209/5 (18.4 overs)
- Winning Margin: UP by 5 wickets
Key Match-Winners:
- Arpit Juyal (UP) – 65-75 runs opening
- Rinku Singh (UP) – 35-40* finishing knock
- Ravi Bishnoi (UP) – 2-3 wickets containing Chandigarh
- Manan Vohra (CHN) – 55-65 runs fighting knock
Why This Score:
Eden Gardens averages 204, so expecting a similar total. UP’s superior NRR means they’ll chase cautiously but effectively. Chandigarh will play aggressively but lack finishing depth.
Final Call: Back Uttar Pradesh Smartly
The CHN vs UP Dream11 Prediction Syed Mushtaq Ali Trophy on 04 Dec 2025 clearly favors Uttar Pradesh for solid reasons.
Their balanced squad, superior net run rate, psychological advantage from the previous win, and quality bowling attack make them deserving favorites.
Bhuvneshwar Kumar’s death bowling expertise on batting-friendly Eden Gardens could prove decisive.
Chandigarh isn’t out of it, though. Manan Vohra’s red-hot form (224 runs) keeps them dangerous.
If he gets going and their bowlers contain UP to 185-190, they have chances.
For fantasy players, prioritize UP players (60% of the team) but include Vohra as a captain option for a differential edge.
The match promises high-scoring excitement with playoff implications adding extra spice.
Pick your teams wisely, back quality over sentiment, and may the best selections win! 🏏📊
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